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2008年6月5日. Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama will beat Republican John McCain in the November U.S. presidential election, prediction market traders were betting on Wednesday.. Traders on the Dublin-based Intrade prediction market gave Obama a 61 percent chance of winning the November 4 election, versus a 35 percent chance for McCain. Traders on the Iowa Electronic.
Intrade's most recent success has been bets on the results of the upcoming November presidential election. These predicted results are illustrated via a simple map, above–with red for Republican states, blue for Democratic.
The 2012 US presidential election was a bellwether media event for Intrade, garnering the company high levels of web traffic. Intrade allows bets on a wide range of future outcomes: political events (in the US, India, Germany, Israel etc.).
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